1. After a better-than-expected start to 2025, the government is warning of a growing risk that the economy may slip into its first technical recession since the pandemic.
2. Beh Swan Gin, permanent secretary at the trade ministry, emphasized that such a contraction — defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction — “doesn’t necessarily equate to a full-blown economic recession.” The government maintained its full-year growth forecast at a cautious 0% to 2%.
3. As the impact of the US-led tariff escalation begins to bite, Singapore is the first Southeast Asian country to flag the risk of a technical recession, an event that has only happened twice in the past 20 years — at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, and during the global financial crisis, when the city-state had four straight quarterly contractions beginning in June 2008.
4. The newly re-elected government of Prime Minister Lawrence Wong is already spending billions of dollars in subsidies and handouts to help households cope with the rising cost of living and create more jobs. But with such a high dependence on global trade, the nation’s economic path this year is likely to be dictated by the unpredictable trade battle between the US and China.
