1. A report titled "Navigating high winds: Southeast Asia Outlook 2024-34" was released on August 1, compiled by the Development Bank of Singapore, consulting firm Bain & Company, and Angsana Council.
2. The report forecasts the expected growth of the six largest Southeast Asian economies of Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Thailand.
3. According to the report, over the next decade, Southeast Asia will likely grow faster than the previous decade, with higher GDP growth and higher total foreign direct investment (FDI) than China. Southeast Asia’s growth will be driven by stronger domestic economies and a resurgence in investment catalysed by China + 1 supply chain shifts.
4. Specifically, Southeast Asia is predicted to grow GDP by 5.1 per cent, on average, in the next decade. Vietnam and the Philippines are expected to be the faster-growing countries, with Vietnam remaining in front.
5. "Vietnam is forecast to maintain a GDP growth rate of 6.6 per cent in the 2024-2034 period and its export-oriented economy is well-positioned to capture China + 1 opportunities," the report said. "The country also boasts a highly diverse source of FDI, productive interprovincial competition, and high-quality workforce and education levels."
6. To grow faster than the forecasts, Southeast Asia should invest in new growth sectors, foster tech-enabled disruptors, expand capital markets’ breadth and depth, and accelerate the green transition, the report added. The region should also commit to growth-friendly multilateral initiatives, including the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the Belt and Road Initiative, and a transnational electricity grid.