1. While tariffs (or the risk of them) dominate headlines, and governments and companies globally fret about the consequences, one simple and obvious fact is worth remembering: tariffs only affect physical goods. Although some services trade and investment will get caught up in the turmoil, the same does not hold true for most cross-border investment into research, development, and innovation (RD&I). RD&I activities involving sensitive technologies may be subject to outbound FDI screening, such as the US Outbound Investment Security Program. Otherwise, companies remain free to conduct research (almost) anywhere in the world.
2. For many investment promotion agencies (IPAs), attracting manufacturing investment remains the ultimate prize. ‘The bigger, the better’ still applies for the investment that many IPAs seek to attract. Large manufacturing projects are prioritized because of their job creation and supply chain impacts and potentially transformative nature.
3. However, manufacturing’s share of global FDI has been declining for decades and represented only 13% of greenfield projects globally between 2020 and 2023 (source: UNCTAD). At the same time, corporate expenditures on R&D have been growing rapidly, with data from the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) showing an increase of roughly 40 percent between 2019 and 2023. In most countries, corporate R&D now significantly exceeds R&D spending by governments and academia, reflecting the importance of innovation for companies of all sizes.